en-US Sun, 11 Oct 2020 10:08:42 -0700 60 144 41 /images/layout/goodreads_logo_144.jpg 35957157
Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making?

Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, and (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty and make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes and bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes.

By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know and what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, and destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate and successful in the long run.]]> 288 Annie Duke 0735216355 Annie 5 3.80 2018
author: Annie Duke
name: Annie
average rating: 3.80
book published: 2018
rating: 5
read at:
date added: 2020/10/11
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]]> 51066664 Through a blend of compelling exercises, illustrations, and stories, the bestselling author of Thinking in Bets will train you to combat your own biases, address your weaknesses, and help you become a better and more confident decision-maker.

What do you do when you're faced with a big decision? If you're like most people, you probably make a pro and con list, spend a lot of time obsessing about decisions that didn't work out, get caught in analysis paralysis, endlessly seek other people's opinions to find just that little bit of extra information that might make you sure, and finally go with your gut.

What if there was a better way to make quality decisions so you can think clearly, feel more confident, second-guess yourself less, and ultimately be more decisive and be more productive?

Making good decisions doesn't have to be a series of endless guesswork. Rather, it's a teachable skill that anyone can sharpen. In How to Decide, bestselling author Annie Duke and former professional poker player lays out a series of tools anyone can use to make better decisions. You'll learn:

ÌýÌý•ÌýÌýTo identify and dismantle hidden biases.
ÌýÌý•ÌýÌýTo extract the highest quality feedback from those whose advice you seek.
ÌýÌý•ÌýÌýTo more accurately identify the influence of luck in the outcome of your decisions.
ÌýÌý•ÌýÌýWhen to decide fast, when to decide slow, and when to decide in advance.
ÌýÌý•ÌýÌýTo make decisions that more effectively help you to realize your goals and live your values.

Through interactive exercises and engaging thought experiments, this workbook helps you analyze key decisions you've made in the past and troubleshoot those you're making in the future. Whether you're picking investments, evaluating a job offer, or trying to figure out your romantic life, How to Decide is the key to happier outcomes and fewer regrets.]]> 240 Annie Duke 0593084616 Annie 5 3.97 2020
author: Annie Duke
name: Annie
average rating: 3.97
book published: 2020
rating: 5
read at:
date added: 2020/10/11
shelves:
review:

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